Friday, April 4, 2014

INDIAN FOOD SECURITY IN COMA-REVIVAL A CHALLENGE


INDIAN FOOD SECURITY IN COMA-REVIVAL A  CHALLENGE
Food Security Act (ACT) of 2013 is in comatose state. On the election eve, neither UPA nor NDA is eulogizing Right to Food. The fact being that the ACT is a doctrine of “paper entitlements” without committed obligation in the real sense, except, for the Government to perform on best efforts basis. It does not empower people for food—it simply raises their expectation from the Government to deliver food under the 50-year archaic public distribution system (PDS), where 45-50% leakages are officially acknowledged. The complainant who is deprived of entitlement can take circuitous legal route—that is all.



The pertinent question is -- can anti- reform policies be lauded as reform because it suits vote bank politics and subsidy is hiked from about Rs 90000 crores to about 2.5-3 lakh crores annually (about 3% of GDP) to cover about 70% of population. Rice/wheat/maize are to be distributed at “fixed” prices of Rs 3/2/1 pkg, that is, 90% of the current economic cost. If about 3% of GDP is consumed by food subsidy, expansionary fiscal deficit is sure to hurt growth. It will be a major challenge for the new Government to put tangible food reforms in action.



After 35 days of its active existence, the ACT was deferred till October 2014(for one year) due to lack of readiness of list of beneficiaries by States. Meanwhile states are busy appointing mostly retired bureaucrats as Chairpersons of “State Food Commissions” and other officers for its implementation. This is yet another expensive paraphernalia of burgeoning bureaucracy with doubtful utility. UPA repeatedly claims RTI (Right to Information) its far-reaching attainment but the same tag of prominence is not applied to this ACT. It may have had noble intentions—but far from practical in implementation. The slogan of feeding hungry carries little appeal because hunger statistically is less than 1%--though malnutrition, sanitation, clean water, educations, medicines, health are prime concerns of the poor.   Elections of Delhi State were the first litmus test for failure of the ACT.



Saner economic advice of eminent socio-political commentators remained unheeded by UPA2. For last five years (2009-14). Government has been building up massive inventories of grains-- 70-80 million tons—(20-30 million tons more than required) for servicing this ACT, without the ACT being in place. Lavish bonuses on wheat and paddy gifted by Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh-- both BJP ruled states-- for political populism and heavy local taxation of 12-14% levied by Punjab Government, an ally of BJP, cannot be supported.


Apart from lack of storage and unhygienic roof coverings, the ACT will suck huge tonnages in official stocks, crowd out private trade and inflate market prices. Media reports suggest that economic pundits like Jagdish Bhagwati/Arvind Panagariya, both of Columbia University of USA, who favor conditional cash transfers, reportedly guide NDA/BJP. Will this be implemented?
Opium of subsidies once dispensed cannot be withdrawn without violent side effects. Finally anarchism prevails. Thai paddy pledging scheme (bonus on paddy) is the case in point where country’s once vibrant economy is brought to its knees.

In WTO’s Bali conference of December 2013 India got a reprieve for four years-- till 2017--to harmonize subsidies with WTO agenda, subject to extensive reporting forthwith on full transparency in domestic support for food security purposes.   India has yet to comply by that obligation. There is no doubt that ACT in its present form will distort the world trade as more grains will be diverted to bazaar due to greater greed of arbitrage between official and market prices, lowering export prices. In years of shortages, massive Government imports will make world markets tizzy with rocketing prices.

ACT needs a total review.  However, how decisions of last five years for accumulation of humongous grains inventories at colossal cost, waste, bonuses-- will be dealt remains unclear. Or will it be treated with “Chalta hai” approach? If the ACT is to be revived from its coma, then contentious issues of open ended procurement, physical deliveries with 90% subsidization, leakages, bonuses by States and ensuring WTO compliance etc. have to be politically treated and counter mended. Otherwise nation will be riddled with unending treatment costs of a patient coming in and out of coma—without any viable recover

-----------------------------------------------------------------



No comments:

Post a Comment